Indonesian aviation enters an exciting new chapter: Outlook 2010

Indonesia is a high-potential aviation market, with a strong natural requirement for air services and a large population with rising incomes to support the industry. The rationalisation of domestic capacity over the past two years has helped restore financial health to the airline sector – to the point where Garuda Indonesia is planning a landmark IPO later this year. Overall domestic capacity levels fell 9.4% in 2008, with a further 12.7% contraction in 2009, meaning domestic capacity has returned to 2004 levels in 2009. [7359 words]

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This report contains the following subheadings:

• PART I: COUNTRY OVERVIEW
• PART II: AIRLINES
• Garuda wins approval to restructure debt ahead of IPO
• Outlook: Strong growth ahead, but will profits follow?

This report contains the following charts and tables:

• Indonesia total network capacity on international and domestic routes: 2001 to 2009
• GDP growth rates among selected Asia economies: 2006 to 2014F
• Key Indonesia economic statistics: 2000 to 2008
• Map of Indonesia
• Indonesia international tourism receipts: Q1/2008 to Q2/2009
• International visitor arrivals to Indonesia (mill) and year-on-year growth: 2003 to 2009
• Indonesia international tourist arrivals: Q1/2008 to Q2/2009
• Real Travel & Tourism activity growth (% per annum) (Vietnam): 2000 to 2012F
• International Visitor Numbers (Indonesia): 2000 to 2012F 
• Domestic Indonesia capacity (seats): Mar-2010
• Lion Air destination map: Mar-2010
• Lion Air’s existing and planned fleet: Mar-2010
• Lion Air’s B737NG delivery schedule: Mar-2010
• Fleet plans of select Southeast Asian airlines: Feb-2010
• Garuda Indonesia operating and net profit margins (%): 2003 to 2008
• Garuda Indonesia passenger (millions) and passenger load factors (%): 2003 to 2008
• Garuda’s 2014 ‘Quantum Leap’ Programme highlights
• Garuda Indonesia Route Map (based on the 2008 Annual Report)
• Garuda Indonesia international capacity (seats): Mar-2010
• Garuda Indonesia Codeshare Operations 
• Garuda Indonesia Strategic Business Units 
• Garuda Indonesia subsidiary companies
• Asia Pacific domestic LCC penetration by capacity (seats) by country: 2009 
• Indonesian domestic capacity (seats per month), LCCs as a percentage of the total: 2001 to 2009
• Indonesian international capacity (seats per month), LCCs as a percentage of the total: 2001 to 2009
• Mandala Airlines key investors
• Indonesia AirAsia financial highlights for three months ended Dec-2009
• Indonesia AirAsia load factor development (%): 1Q2008 to 4Q2009
• Capacity (seats) to/from Indonesia (seats): Mar-2010
• Indonesia AirAsia cost per ASK development (US cents): 1Q2008 to 4Q2009
• AirAsia Group capacity growth plans: 2010 and 2011
• Indonesia AirAsia financial highlights for 2009
• Indonesia’s other domestic airlines  
• The growth of air transportation hubs for domestic passengers (departures): 2009
• The growth of air transportation hubs for international passengers (departures): 2009