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China aviation SWOT: Airlines cash starved, China Eastern-Shanghai Air merger likely to stumble
19th June, 2009
China’s airline industry faces an enormously challenging year. Geared for growth, under-capitalised and unrestructured, the sector has been rocked by external events and economic malaise, while internal rivalries and policy inertia threaten to undermine what on paper appears a potential aviation growth bonanza. We review China’s aviation sector prospects in this SWOT analysis. [2193 words]
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This report contains the following subheadings:
- STRENGTHS – World’s brightest growth prospect
- WEAKNESSES – The cost of growth, internal rivalries and favouritism
- OPPORTUNITIES – Leadership and North Asian liberalisation
- THREATS – Protracted economic slump in the west, planes and pigs
This report contains the following charts and tables:
- Chinese Mainland international, domestic and regional (Hong Kong/Macau) airport passenger numbers (mill): 1984 to 2008
- Chinese Mainland airport passenger numbers (mill) and passenger numbers growth (% change year-on-year): 2008
- Chinese Mainland airport cargo volumes (mill tonnes) and cargo volume growth (% change year-on-year): 2008
- Select Chinese carriers’ key financial results: Three months ended 31-Mar-09
- Chinese airline share price index Jan-2009 to Jun-2009
- Air China, Hainan Airlines, China Eastern, China Southern and Cathay Pacific passenger number growth: Jan-07 to May-09
- China fleet expansion plan: 2009 to 2013
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