AVIANCA

Key decisions loom in 2012 for Avianca-TACA as integration effort nears completion

The spotlight in Latin America this year will primarily be shone on LAN and TAM as the two airline groups complete their landmark merger and begin the integration process. But it is also a key year for Avianca-TACA, which completed their merger in early 2010 and has completed about 90% of its integration process.

The integration of Avianca and TACA will be wrapped up this year as the carrier formally joins the Star Alliance, completing two major milestones for the fast-expanding airline group. Several major decisions also loom for the group in 2012 related to its corporate structure, branding and fleet.

Structurally, a decision will likely be made by the end of this year on whether to bring Avianca Brazil into the publicly traded holding company Avianca-TACA. The Brazilian carrier is still owned by the Synergy Group, the holding company controlled by the Efromovich family which also owned Avianca prior to its merger with TACA (the Efromovich family now has a majority share in Avianca-TACA Holding). As a result, Avianca Brazil remains separate although it has a co-branding arrangement with Colombia-based Avianca.

Avianca Brazil accelerates expansion as ex-LAN A318s and new A320s are added to fleet

Avianca Brazil is accelerating expansion as the carrier aims to regain market share in Brazil’s fast-growing domestic sector. Avianca Brazil, previously known as OceanAir, now plans to end 2011 with 26 aircraft, up from only 17 aircraft at the start of the year. At least another five aircraft will be added next year as Avianca Brazil has emerged as the unlikely new home for the 15 A318s exiting the fleet of rival Latin American airline group LAN.

Avianca Brazil president Jose Efromovich told CAPA at the sidelines of the ALTA Airline Leaders Forum earlier this month that the carrier has agreed to acquire all 15 of the A318s exiting LAN’s fleet. Mr Efromovich says five of the A318s have already been delivered to Avianca Brazil while five more will be delivered in 2012 and the final five aircraft will be come in 2013.

The 15 A318s are being remarketed by Airbus as LAN returns the aircraft in exchange for larger A320 family aircraft. Airbus was expected to have a very hard time finding new homes for the aircraft given the unpopularity of the A318 and the fact the LAN examples are powered by PW6000 engines – an engine type engine unique to LAN’s A318s.

Avianca-Sky tie-up and LAN-TAM alliance selection could lead to further consolidation in LatAm

The rivalry in Latin America between leading airline groups LATAM and Avianca-TACA has increased another notch following the establishment of a new alliance between Avianca-TACA and Chilean carrier Sky Airline. While relatively small, the tie-up forged this week between leading Colombian carrier Avianca and Sky could be a precursor to further consolidation in the region. Such consolidation will almost certainly follow alliance lines as LATAM, which will be formally established in late 1Q2012 once LAN and TAM complete their merger, is poised to opt for oneworld while Avianca-TACA is now in the process of joining Star Alliance.

Brazil airport privatisation plan comes under attack at ALTA forum

Brazil’s new plan for privatising three of its largest airports has already started to draw criticism from Latin American carriers as well as IATA and the Latin American airline association ALTA. The upcoming privatisation of Brasilia, Sao Paulo Guarulhos and Viracopos-Campinas airports was a hot topic at last week’s ALTA Airline Leaders Forum in Rio de Janeiro.

ALTA, which represents airlines throughout Latin America and the Caribbean, and IATA are concerned the three concessions as currently outlined will result in higher fees and a large chunk of the generated revenues not being reinvested in modernising the airports. But ALTA, IATA and the airlines in the region widely recognise the potential benefits of airport privatisation as Latin America struggles to cope with infrastructure challenges that are now threatening to curtail continued growth.

UPDATE: oneworld favoured with more at stake than Star in LAN-TAM alliance decision

(this article, which was initially published on 24-Sep-2011, has been updated to include initial LAN response, further discussion of TDLC measures and implications for Gol and SkyTeam)

The stage is set for the biggest global alliance selection of the decade as new airline group LATAM is being forced by Chile's anti-trust court to choose a single grouping. The decision by LATAM, the new parent company for oneworld’s LAN and Star’s TAM, will have huge ramifications as the winning alliance will be guaranteed a leading position in the fast-growing and increasingly important Latin American market. The more likely outcome is a oneworld victory, which would result in its share of capacity in the region increasing to 30% compared to approximately 15% for Star and 11% for SkyTeam.

Avianca benefits in Colombia from restructuring at new LAN subsidiary Aires

Avianca has been the main beneficiary of the restructuring at Colombian-low cost carrier Aires, growing its share of the domestic market and improving its profitability since LAN acquired Aires late last year. Avianca also has benefitted from capacity reductions by the other two main players in Colombia’s domestic market, Copa Colombia and Satena.