Transaero Airlines

Russian market remains strong as Aeroflot to start Moscow-Miami service

While western Europe remains in the doldrums, signs are more positive in the east and especially in Russia, where state-owned Aeroflot and competitor Transaero have in the past two years recorded growth rates in excess of 25%. The trend is continuing, and Aeroflot's latest long-haul destination – Miami – will see thrice-weekly A330-200 service commence 30-Oct-2012. Aeroflot competitor Transaero, which has a stronger leisure focus, already serves Miami, albeit with a twice weekly Boeing 777-200 service.

Transaero seeks services to France and Italy following expanded bilateral agreements

Transaero is continuing to encroach on Aeroflot’s territory with the recent expansion in capacity as part of revised bilateral agreements between the Russian Federation and Western Europe. Traditionally, Aeroflot, as the Russian flag carrier, was the only airline allowed to operate key international routes from Moscow, however, this is beginning to change with expanded bilateral air services agreements with other nations that allow for a second carrier to compete on particular routes. Most recently Russia’s Federal Air Transport Agency held negotiations with Italy and France for the liberalisation of air services, which will see each country allowed to have a second carrier compete on key routes.

Russian network airline traffic continues to rebound, but without LCCs

Russia is becoming a serious force in aviation through the significant growth reported in both passenger and cargo transportation over the last 11 years. It is no surprise, partly considering the massive land area the Russian Federation covers, that aviation is increasingly seen as an efficient way for mass transportation of people and goods across the nation and further afield.

2009 saw the first decrease in passengers carried in the century’s first decade, with numbers declining 9.5% to 45.1 million. However starting in the following year, traffic rebounded with positive figures reported in 2010. The rebound is continuing in 2011, according to the latest traffic figures released by Russia’s Federal Air Transport Agency. The figures show overall growth in both passenger and cargo volumes in the 10 months to Oct-2011, including a 12.3% year-on-year increase in passenger numbers.

This growth comes from the nation’s network carriers, with low-cost operators making hardly any noise in the market. Despite the ever-increasing demand for air travel, Russia still does not have a significant level of low-cost carrier penetration from home or foreign carriers, and the LCC sector took a step back earlier this year with the bankruptcy of Avianova.

Russia's growing leisure market gets a leg up as Transaero orders A380s

Moscow Domodedovo-based Transaero Airlines has ordered four A380s in a landmark step for Russia’s fledgling long-haul leisure market, where Transaero is a dominant player. The deal is worth USD1.5 billion at list prices.

Avianova bankruptcy spotlights instability in alluring emerging markets

The bankruptcy of Avianova, Russia’s fastest-growing LCC, highlights the difficulties of emerging markets that lure investors and their LCC start-ups into complex but evolving sectors with promises of explosive growth. Avianova's bankruptcy follows financial difficulties after a dispute between its two shareholders, Russia’s A1 Investments and US-based LCC investor Indigo Partners, showcasing the risk of foreign-managed operations in markets that have only recently begun to open up. It is an experience Avianova CEO Andrew Pyne was exposed to at his previous start-up, low-cost long-haul carrier Viva Macau based in the captivating region of the Pearl River Delta. And in the other big growing market – China – LCCs are still trying to gain a foothold.

Avianova’s collapse is a major setback for the development of the low-cost sector in one of the world’s fastest-growing markets with low LCC market share. But the Russian market, despite its myriad regulatory, geographic and infrastructure challenges, remains a market brimming with potential for low-cost operators. LCC penetration remains very low, and demand for air travel, particularly in the short-haul space, continues to grow at breakneck speed. Further LCC start-ups are inevitable, but foreign-backed entrants are unlikely to be attracted.

Russia can lay claim to being one of the world's most dynamic air transport markets

Sometimes seen as the laggard of the BRICs, Russia’s recent performance demonstrates it is anything but. The Russian Government, aviation regulators and major industry players are increasing efforts aimed at addressing structural inefficiencies, which should drive future growth and unlock the potential of a country ideally suited to air transport.