Indonesian Aviation Outlook: A massive aviation opportunity, but some risks to growth

Population: 230 million. Air passengers: just 50 million p/a. Indonesia is an immense aviation opportunity. Predominantly domestic, Indonesia’s air traffic is primed for world-leading growth rates in the coming decade, fuelled by economic expansion and rising incomes, increasing trade and tourism and a geography (of difficult terrain and large expanses of water) that encourages air travel. [1720 words]

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This report contains the following subheadings:

• Indonesia now world’s 12th biggest domestic market
• Domestic market to grow 60% by 2015
• Lion Air has lion’s share
• International capacity soaring
• Fragmented international market
• Point to point and hubbing
• Indonesian airlines grow internationally by 20% in 2009
• Garuda’s ‘Quantum Leap’
• Hottest Airlines to Watch in 2011
• Mandala Airlines looks for new investors
• Indonesia’s international market to more than double by 2015
• LCC penetration within Indonesia set to grow
• Domestic LCC share jumps in 2010
• International LCC share soaring in Indonesia
• Conclusion: Build now!

This report contains the following charts and tables:

• Indonesian domestic air passenger numbers (mill): 1996 to 2015F
• Indonesian domestic passengers (mill) by airline: 2008 and 2009
• Indonesian annual international capacity (million seats): 2001 to 2015F
• Indonesian international market capacity shares by airline (%): Nov-2010
• International markets linked to Indonesia (% of weekly schedules): Nov-2010
• Garuda Indonesia international passenger numbers: 1996 to 1H2010
• Garuda Indonesia’s international network: 2008
• Garuda Indonesia’s international network: 2014
• Selected Asia Pacific airlines’ deliveries by 2012
• Asia Pacific domestic LCC penetration by capacity (seats) by country: 2010
• Indonesian domestic capacity (seats per month), LCCs as a percentage of the total: 2001 to 2010
• Indonesian international capacity (seats per month), LCCs as a percentage of the total: 2001 to 2010