United Airlines

Non-stop US-India market continues to shrink with American Airlines ending Chicago-Delhi service

The number of carriers operating direct service between the US and India will decline to two – Air India and United – from 01-Mar-2012 when American Airlines ends its sole service to India, a daily service between Chicago O'Hare-New Delhi. The cancellation of the unprofitable routes comes as American rationalises its network as part of its bankruptcy filing. The carrier stated that the service is being cancelled due to the “historical financial performance of the route and its future outlook given the global economic climate and high oil prices.” The poor financial performance on the route, American's longest at 7484 miles, relates to the impact on yields of competitive pricing as American was able to consistently report high load factors on the route over the past 12 months. 

2012 marks beginning of next chapter in US airline industry

While downturn is rife in the airline industry, the US industry will do relatively well, with IATA expecting the US industry to post USD2 billion in earnings in 2011 and USD2.9 billion in 2012 as US carriers limit capacity growth, keeping load factors high.

Within the US there was a higher than expected consumer retailing at the end of the year, and while unemployment is still high it has shown a steady decrease since the last half of 2011.

United Airlines eager to tap expected growth in US-Africa market

United Airlines aims to further expand its network in Africa, the fast-growing market it only began serving last year and last month tripled its capacity in with the launch of Houston-Lagos service. But the rate of expansion will likely be relatively slow, reflecting some of the growing pains in Africa experienced by rival Delta Air Lines.

The opportunities in Africa for US carriers are huge given the current small number of flights in the market and the increasing economic ties between the US and several African countries. US-Africa has always been a modestly sized market that has traditionally been served primarily with connections via Europe. Slowly more direct services are opening up and over the next several years new flights are expected to be launched by US and African carriers.

Africa finally became the sixth and final continent to be added to United’s network in Jun-2010, when the carrier launched daily Boeing 767 service on the Washington Dulles-Accra route.

American Airlines charts a course through bankruptcy

Last week’s Chapter 11 filing by American Airlines (AA) and American Eagle (AE) parent AMR marks the end of the post-deregulation period as well as possibly signalling the beginning of the end of US legacy consolidation as many believe the shedding of American’s baggage will position it for the US industry’s final merger with the only other independent legacy, US Airways (LCC).

Across the board the feeling is this is the best thing for both AMR and the US industry because it means more capacity cuts. Delta and United are expected to be the principal beneficiaries. JP Morgan expects a 10% capacity cut from American, which translates to a USD1.4 billion, or 1-3% revenue jump for United, Delta Air Lines, US Airways, Alaska Airlines, Southwest and JetBlue in 2012. US Airways was already slated to benefit from the capacity cuts of competitors this quarter.

US carriers shrinking in United States-Southeast Asia market

US carriers are shrinking their presence in the Southeast Asian market, which they serve via Asian hubs, typically in Tokyo or Hong Kong. United's current schedule sees a 27% drop from its last schedule, and is made feasible by merger partner Continental having a narrowbody fleet in the Asia-Pacific region. The decline follows previous cuts made by Delta merger partner Northwest. Despite United's cuts to Vietnam, Delta has no plans to add capacity. Southeast Asian carriers have almost twice the capacity to North America as US carriers have to Southeast Asia.

Delta even considered deploying its B777-200LR on non-stop flights from the US to Singapore, as Singapore Airlines does with a fleet of A340-500s, but determined sustaining the flights would be difficult. Working against US carriers are their higher cost bases than Southeast Asian carriers, despite US carriers having extensive fifth freedom rights in the region.

US airlines’ ancillary revenues continue to grow, but at a slower pace for legacy carriers

The US Department of Transportation (DoT), through the Bureau of Transportation Statistics (BTS), has released second quarter data which provides some interesting numbers for consideration. Looking at the ancillary revenue collected by carriers, we find that the amounts collected continue to grow, but for most legacy airlines at a slower pace. The overall year-on-year total increased only 5%.

However, passengers flying Spirit had a quite different experience and despite its general “no fees” image, Southwest has increased its take from fees by 10% over the year.